Celtic, Hearts and Rangers are locked in a genuine three-way title race. xG trends, goalkeeping variance and projections explain why the margins are so fine.
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The data and trends explaining Celtic’s most unpredictable title race in decades
The Celtic Way · 3h
The data and trends explaining Celtic’s most unpredictable title race in decades
The data and trends explaining Celtic’s most unpredictable title race in decades
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Last Match
 |
2 - 2 |  |
Bologna Stadio Renato Dall'Ara Europe |
Celtic |
UEFA Europa League
Thu, 22 Jan 2026, 17:45
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Next Match
 |
v | |
Hearts Tynecastle Park Europe |
Celtic |
Scottish Premiership
Sun, 25 Jan 2026, 15:00
Tynecastle Park
SPFL Table
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hearts | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 50 |
| 2 | Celtic | 22 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | Rangers | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 44 |
| 4 | Motherwell | 23 | 10 | 10 | 3 | 35 | 17 | 18 | 40 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 33 |
| 7 | Aberdeen | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 28 |
| 8 | Dundee United | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 25 |
| 9 | Dundee | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 22 |
| 10 | St Mirren | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 19 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 23 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 14 |
| 12 | Livingston | 23 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 24 | 48 | -24 | 11 |